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Milton Friedman once quipped, "One of the great mistakes is to judge policies and programs by their intentions rather than their results." In this spirit, PERC scholars prepared a policy brief for the Forest Landowners Foundation explaining how sustainability certification and renewable fuels mandates could accelerate the development of non-industrial private forests.
Nonindustrial private forests cover about 360 million acres in the United States, or roughly one-half of the nation’s total forested acres. These forests produce more than 60 percent of the nation’s annual wood harvest; and, in several regions of the country, they are the primary source of pulp, lumber, plywood, and other wood products. Nonindustrial private forests also generate a host of non-timber benefits such as water purification, carbon sequestration, wildlife habitat, and open space – usually at no cost to surrounding communities.
Despite their economic and environmental output, nonindustrial private forests are in jeopardy. Since the 1990s, the conversion of forestland to developed uses has exceeded one million acres per year. Driving much of this conversion is the demand for residential housing and, more precisely, the disparity in profits between developing forested land versus keeping it in timber production. Ironically, recent initiatives aimed at rewarding environmental stewardship on private forests could accelerate forest conversion.
This report evaluates the impact of two such policies: sustainability certification and renewable biomass mandates. The report provides a background on nonindustrial private forests and outlines the economics drivers of private forest conversion. It then explores how sustainability certification and the renewable fuel standard could reduce the environmental productivity of nonindustrial private forests by reducing their economic profitability.

Founded 30 years ago in Bozeman, Montana, PERC—the Property and Environment Research Center—is the nation’s oldest and largest institute dedicated to improving environmental quality through property rights and markets.
PERC’s publications, each designed to resonate with specific groups, move ideas generated at PERC to broader audiences.
Research is at the heart of PERC's work, with a focus on the question: What is the link between economic growth and environmental quality?
The goal of PERC’s programs is to fully realize the vision of establishing “PERC University,” where scholars, students, policy makers, and others convene to expand the applications of free market environmentalism.
PERC's fellowships share a common goal of exposing new scholars, students, journalists, and policy makers to free market environmentalism, as well as enable scholars already familiar with FME to explore new applications.
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